Sunday, June 16, 2013

They Don't Care

          Republican’s don’t care about the deficit.  They've proven this time and time again.  Yet for whatever reason, they refuse to see it, and the people that vote for them refuse to see it.  Whether you look at spending or revenue, nothing they believe delivers serious reductions in deficits, and nearly everything exacerbates it.  Whether it is tax policy or fiscal policy, they manage to run on deficit “reduction” policies that actually increase the deficit. 

There are two schools of Conservative thought on tax policy.  One says that rates should be cut, and to compensate for this loss of revenue by closing tax loopholes.  Sounds wonderful, even I think that is a good idea.  However they never state which loopholes they will close…ever.  This was a problem for Governor Romney in the last campaign.  A $5 Trillion dollar tax cut probably should have mentioned some way to pay for it.  It’s not even like it is difficult to find loopholes.  A recent CBO report found that there is $900 billion in tax expenditures in the Individual Income tax system alone.  The House Republicans on the Budget Committee (I presume not wanting to be upstaged by Governor Romney) has put forward a plan to drain nearly $6 Trillion in revenue.  Surprisingly, they have not put forward any way to pay for it, either though closing loopholes or reducing spending.  It is nothing more than a talking-point they use to trick simple-minded people into voting for them.  “Reduce rates!” “Close loopholes!” “Tax simplification!”  Those terms do poll very well and sound nice in 30-second ads.  However, their talking points are never translated into policy, and they have no intention of ever translating them into policy.  It is a quick way to add some more debt, and nothing more. 

The second idea is a flat tax.  A fairly basic principle, all people should pay the same percentage of their income.  Whether you are a member of the Walton family and hold more wealth than the bottom 40% of Americans, or you work at Wal-Mart and need food stamps to feed your child, you will pay the same “X”% of your income.  The idea of a flat tax sounds wonderful to them.  Pry a little deeper.  What rate do they want to set it at?  They really don’t know.  Steve Forbes' Presidential campaign was well known for his proposed rate of 17%.  The conservative Heritage Foundation has recently proposed a rate of 28%.  I've had someone tell me the comically low rate of 6% to replace all Federal revenue.  There are only two real places to set the rate.  Either so low that large sums of revenue from wealthy and well-off people is lost, and permanent deficits are created.  Or, a rate that is so high that it discourages economic activity and consumption due to middle and lower class people having a tax bill increased so immensely that it hinders their ability to purchase, invest, and save. Either way, everyone else in the country is giving up something so the wealthiest can have more.  If the rate is low, a debt crisis becomes more likely and more imminent from the lack of revenue.  If it is too high, the rich will still most likely see a tax cut, and everyone else in the country will end up having to pay more for their tax cuts.  This has already begun to happen in nations with a flat tax, which have adopted regressive Value-Added Taxes  (VAT) on the people.  

The Republicans have long painted themselves as the proponents of a smaller government and cuts in government spending.  It is true that the incumbent Republican Governors have been practicing a miniature American austerity; however, at the federal level they consistently fail to deliver.  When the Republicans held complete control in Washington from 2003-2006, federal spending increased by nearly $600 billion dollars, or by about 26%.  Even if you ignore the increase in defense spending (there was a war after all) you still have a federal government that grew by 24%.  They never have any way to cut federal spending because the dirty secret is that Republicans actually don’t know what they want to cut.  Ask them.  Do they want to cut education? Defense? Veteran’s benefits? Social security? Medicare? Infrastructure?  Anything?  They only want to cut social welfare spending.  With a 10-year deficit of $6.3 Trillion dollars, they want to cut that, and almost nothing else.  Even if all income security programs were to be cut in half, the savings over 10-years would be $1.6 Trillion, which wouldn't even cover the multi-trillion dollar tax cuts that they want. 



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